Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.181176 0.211524 0.244829 0.284013 0.328772 0.378222 0.436907
2025-11-30 0.137274 0.180246 0.232442 0.300114 0.385093 0.487795 0.620785
2025-12-07 0.103886 0.149270 0.208810 0.291796 0.403481 0.547456 0.745766
2025-12-14 0.081607 0.126596 0.189571 0.282784 0.415555 0.595873 0.856799
2025-12-21 0.066358 0.110215 0.175230 0.276648 0.428357 0.643774 0.968759
2025-12-28 0.057454 0.101383 0.169874 0.281712 0.456220 0.713609 1.115869
2026-01-04 0.051268 0.095606 0.167967 0.291078 0.490526 0.794732 1.285102
2026-01-11 0.045501 0.089446 0.164348 0.296797 0.519023 0.868662 1.448544
2026-01-18 0.040142 0.083044 0.159280 0.299144 0.541721 0.934678 1.603970
2026-01-25 0.035378 0.076898 0.153704 0.299665 0.560904 0.995895 1.755486
2026-02-01 0.030804 0.070330 0.146407 0.296058 0.572226 1.044475 1.889150
2026-02-08 0.026725 0.064053 0.138754 0.290724 0.579609 1.086413 2.013955
2026-02-15 0.022586 0.057022 0.128852 0.280269 0.577188 1.112172 2.114897
2026-02-22 0.021515 0.056623 0.132306 0.296378 0.626041 1.232506 2.390409
2026-03-01 0.018455 0.051068 0.124211 0.288168 0.627256 1.266552 2.513929
2026-03-08 0.015793 0.045950 0.116294 0.279258 0.625963 1.295421 2.629426
2026-03-15 0.013710 0.041873 0.110093 0.273192 0.629618 1.333535 2.764209
2026-03-22 0.012587 0.040107 0.108988 0.278199 0.656587 1.418386 2.992929
2026-03-29 0.011819 0.039171 0.109737 0.287460 0.693325 1.524862 3.269924
2026-04-05 0.010927 0.037713 0.108989 0.293114 0.722648 1.618342 3.527044
2026-04-12 0.009965 0.035852 0.106956 0.295435 0.744700 1.698347 3.762038
2026-04-19 0.009027 0.033873 0.104325 0.295951 0.762602 1.770746 3.985723
2026-04-26 0.008030 0.031492 0.100262 0.292384 0.770691 1.822873 4.170803